Who Might Buffalo Bills Target with Top Draft Pick?

Who Might Buffalo Bills Target with Top Draft Pick?
Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

The Buffalo Bills own the No. 27 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft and it is critical that they nail that selection. After a disappointing second-round exit last season, the Bills playoff chances rely on adding more talent to the roster to compete with the Chiefs and Bengals in the AFC. With the AFC East getting stronger by the day, the Bills must upgrade their roster via the draft this offseason. 

The Bills do have a few significant needs on both sides of the ball. But what position might they target with their top pick? NewYorkBets.com analyzed those needs and offered hypothetical odds on the most likely position Buffalo’s top pick will play.

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Position Bills Most Likely to Address

Here are those odds. Round 1 will be held April 27:

Round 1 PositionOddsImplied Probabilty
🏈 Wide receiver+10050%
🏈 Linebacker+20033.3%
🏈 Offensive line+40020%


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Analysis of Bills’ Draft Needs

The most likely position the Bills will target in Round 1 is wide receiver. While it’s true that they have one of the better wide receiver units in the NFL with Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis, it is a unit that needs to add more speed and youth. It’s also worth mentioning that Davis is going into the final year of his rookie contract and Diggs turns 30 during the 2023 season.

Zay Flowers (Boston College) would be a fantastic option for the Bills at No. 27 as he could inject some speed and explosiveness to the offense. Flowers primarily played in the slot in college, but he does have experience playing outside and in the backfield. Another option is Jordan Addison, who dominated at both Pittsburgh and USC. He isn’t as explosive as Flowers, but he is a much more complete receiver who can play all over the field.

If you can get favorable odds at FanDuel NY or any other app, wide receiver would be worth a shot.

Another position that the Bills likely will target early in the draft is linebacker as Tremaine Edmunds left in free agency to sign with the Chicago Bears. Buffalo still has Matt Milano on the roster, but the Bills need to pair him with another linebacker who can play all three downs. 

Jack Campbell (Iowa) seems to be the most likely selection for the Bills at No. 27 considering how productive he was in the Big Ten. He doesn’t have elite sideline to sideline range, but he is incredible in coverage and always seems to be in the right place at the right time. Trenton Simpson (Clemson) and Drew Sanders (Arkansas) both could be in consideration for the Bills in Round 1. 

If the Bills don’t select a wide receiver or linebacker in Round 1, look for them to continue to invest in the offensive line. Steve Avila is a candidate for Buffalo as he’s started at four different positions during his career at TCU. He could start instantly at one of the guard spots and eventually move to center down the road, if needed. Darnell Wright (Tennessee) might be the best pure right tackle in this class and would be a fantastic fit in Buffalo’s pass-happy offense. 

The Bills could go in several different directions with their first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. But look for wide receiver and linebacker to be their two most likely selections in Round 1.

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Early 2023 Season Projection on Bills

The Bills Super Bowl odds won't rank No. 1 in the NFL as they did last season. New York sports betting apps still are high on Buffalo, though.

BetMGM NY, for instance, has the Bills at +850 to win it all, behind only the Chiefs, who are favored at +650.

Meanwhile, Caesars New York has the Bills tied for third with the Eagles at +850, behind the Chiefs (+600) and San Francisco 49ers (+700).


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Marcus Mosher covers the NFL, NFL Draft and NFL news for NewYorkBets.com. The managing editor of The Raiders Wire is also a contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly and FanSided, and previously wrote for FanRag Sports. He hosts Locked On Cowboys Podcast.

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