How Can Free Agency Push Bills Over the Top?

How Can Free Agency Push Bills Over the Top?
Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

The 2022 season for the Buffalo Bills was difficult for many reasons, but they ultimately fell short of their goal.

Buffalo made it to the second round of the playoffs once again but was upset by the visiting Cincinnati Bengals. As fans of the Bills and New York sports betting know, it is the second year in a row the Bills were unable to reach the AFC Championship Game, despite being one of the best teams in the NFL.

NewYorkBets.com — your best source for NY betting apps information — is focusing on the three NFL teams in the Empire State as they head into the important free agency period. We also will make our picks at free agents who succeeded or failed for Buffalo as well as take an early glance at 2023 odds for the team in 2023.

Earlier this week, we did the same for:

Where Bills Can Use Help

What do the Bills need to do now to get back on track and be on par with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Bengals? It's all about adding more talent to both sides of the ball, despite limited resources this off-season. The problem is the Bills are nearly $19 million over the cap as of this posting. They will be able to get under the cap with a few restructures and a couple of releases, but they won't have a ton of space to spend on outside free agents.

The Bills also have several of their own free agents set to hit the open market, including safety Jordan Poyer and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds. Both players are among the top free agents at their respective positions and should get paid exceptionally well on the open market, beginning March 15. While you can never say never, it seems very unlikely either player will be back with the Bills in 2023. 

It's also worth mentioning that Devin Singletary is set to hit the free-agent market next week. While he could return to Buffalo on a cheap, one-year deal, the Bills might decide to move on and let James Cook be their lead back next year. Singletary, however, has a lot of experience in the offense and shouldn't cost a ton to retain if Buffalo wants him back.

So, who could the Bills look to add in free agency, despite not having a lot of cap space? They could use another pass rusher as Von Miller might not be ready for the start of the season due to his knee injury. Could someone like Melvin Ingram (Dolphins) or Justin Houston (Ravens) be interested in coming to Buffalo on a one-year deal as a pass rush specialist? Maybe even someone like Robert Quinn (Eagles), who is known for his speed off the edge, could be a cheap option for the Bills in free agency.

Buffalo also needs to add another cornerback as Dane Jackson is a restricted free agent and Kaiir Elam had an up-and-down rookie season. Luckily, the cornerback market is loaded and plenty of cheap options are available at the position. Anthony Brown (Cowboys) could make a lot of sense as he's played in the slot and on the outside. Going into his age 30 season, he probably won't command more than $4 million in free agency, but he's been a quality No. 2 cornerback for several years. This is the type of signing the Bills will need to make with limited cap space this offseason. 

The Bills won’t be able to be as aggressive this off-season as they were last year. But expect them to make one or two under-the-radar moves to try to keep pace with the Chiefs and the Bengals in the AFC.

 
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Bills Free Agent History

NewYorkBets.com looks at some previous maneuvers in free agency by the Buffalo Bills.

Free Agent Hits

PlayerPositionYear Signed
🏈 Jordan PoyerSafety2017
🏈 Jordan PhillipsDT2018

 

Free Agent Misses

PlayerPositionYear Signed
🏈 A.J. KleinLB2020
🏈 Josh NormanCB2020

 

 

What Do Oddsmakers Expect from 2023 Bills?

Caesars Sportsbook NY had the Bills as the preseason favorite to win the Super Bowl last season. In the early going, that is not the case for 2023. 

The Bills currently are +800, tied for third with the Philadelphia Eagles, behind the Chiefs (+600) and the NFC runner-up, the San Francisco 49ers (+675).

NewYorkBets.com will monitor the Bills through the free agency period, the draft and beyond. The site also is your best stop for the best NY betting promos.

 
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Contributors

Marcus Mosher covers the NFL, NFL Draft and NFL news for NewYorkBets.com. The managing editor of The Raiders Wire is also a contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly and FanSided, and previously wrote for FanRag Sports. He hosts Locked On Cowboys Podcast.

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