New York Governor Odds: NY Gubernatorial Race 2022

By Lou Monaco

(Update: With the June 28 primary approaching quickly, Gov. Kathy Hochul still has a commanding lead in odds to win the elections as posted by Ladbrokes.

New Yorkers will go to the polls in the Democrat and Republican primaries to vote on who will be the final two counterparts in the general election for governor. On Nov. 8, the New York Gubernatorial Election will be held to decide the next Governor of New York.

With the primariy quickly approaching and the general not far behind, oddsmakers have betting markets for the race including odds for all the top candidates. Below, you'll find a breakdown of the latest New York Governor odds, as well updates on news that impacts the race.

Latest Odds to be the Next Governor of New York

Kathy Hochul-330094.1%
Tom Suozzi+20004.8%
Bill de Blasio+50002.4%
Alessandra Biaggi+100002%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+100002%
Cynthia Nixon+100002%
Kirsten Gillibrand+100002%
Thomas DiNapoli+100002%
Hillary Clinton+100001.5%
Terry Gipson+100001.5%
Andrew Yang+100001%
Andrew Cuomo+100000%
Jumaaane Williams+100000%

EDITOR'S NOTE: Political betting is prohibited in New York. The odds discussed above are from regulated bookmakers in the UK, where betting on US politics is legal.

Implied Probability: Calculating Candidates' Chance of Winning

Calculating the implied probability of a candidate's odds to win provides a view of the race in terms of percentage points representing the implied probability of that outcome. For example, the heavy favorite's odds are -1000 or 1/10, which implies a 90.9% probability that Gov. Kathy Hochul wins based on her current odds.

  

New York Gubernatorial Odds Explained

Hochul, who took over after the resignation of Cuomo last August, remains a prohibitive -3300 favorite with England-based Ladbrokes to remain in the position, despite having to recently replace her Lieutenant Governor. Antonio Delgado replaced Brian Benjamin, who was arrested on corruption charges.

Jumanne Williams, New York City’s public advocate, is no longer in second place among Democrats. In second now, at +2000, is Tom Suozzi, a Long Island congressman. Former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is next at +5000, even though de Blasio announced on Jan. 18 that he would not be running, 

Ladbrokes lists the following familiar names as long shots in the Democratic field:

All listed at +10000 are Williams, the former runner-up and former Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Others at +10000 are Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, state Sen. Alessandra Biaggi, “Sex in the City” actress and activist Cynthia Nixon, former Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, state Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli, former vice president and New York senator Hillary Clinton, former NY senator, Terry Gipson and Andrew Yang, who ran unsuccessfully for president and later mayor of New York,.

NewYorkBets.com will update this page when news and change of odds warrant. Ladbrokes has not posted odds on the Republican side but here are some contenders. They have, however, listed a Democrat at -800 favorite to win and a Republican as  a +500 underdog.

Top Candidates for New York Governer at a Glance

Let's take a closer look at each candidate considered a potential contender to be the next Governor of New York.

  • Kathy Hochul (D) (-3300) | Favorite

    The 57th governor of the state and the first woman. She took over for then-Gov. Andrew Cuomo last August after his resignation. Before that, she served from 2015-2021 as lieutenant governor. Born in Buffalo, she also has been a member of Congress for New York’s 26th District and is the former clerk for Erie County.

  • Jumaane Williams (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Public Advocate for New York City since 2019. Before that, he represented Brooklyn’s 45th District in the New York City Council (NYCC) from 2009-2019. Williams turns 46 in May.

  • Tom Suozzi (D) (+2000) | In the Mix

    The Long Island congressman announced his run on Nov. 29. Before being in Congress he served four terms as the mayor of Glen Cove. Suozzi and his wife, Helene, have three children. Their son, Joe, played baseball at Boston College and is in the minor league system of the New York Mets.

  • Bill de Blasio (D) (+5000) | Announced He Will Not Be Running

    A familiar name for New Yorkers, de Blasio served as the 109th mayor of New York City from 2014 to 2021. While he was term-limited and ineligible to seek a third term in the 2021 mayoral election, his name is still being brought up by pundits as a potential governor.

  • Andrew Cuomo (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Cuomo served as the 56th governor of New York from 2011 to 2021. Like de Blasio, it's unlikely he will be voted back into a prominent position.

  • Alessandra Biaggi (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    The current senator for the 34th District of the New York State Senate, Biaggi is a member of the Democratic Party.

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    An up-and-coming politician, the 35-year-old Ocasio-Cortez (also known as "AOC") has served as the U.S. representative for New York's 14th congressional district since 2019.

  • Cynthia Nixon (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    A well-known Broadway actress and theatre director, the 55-year-old Manhattan native has been active in politics.

  • Kirsten Gillibrand (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Born and raised in New York, Gillibrand is a lawyer and politician who has served as the junior United States senator from New York since 2009. With degrees from Dartmouth College and UCLA School of Law, combined with experience on Hillary Clinton's U.S. Senate campaign in 2000, her name has been brought up as a potential candidate.

  • Thomas DiNapoli (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Another native New Yorker, DiNapoli is currently serving as the 54th and current New York State Comptroller since 2007. The magna cum laude Hofstra graduate has been involved in politics since he was a teenager, as he ran for and won a position as a trustee on the Mineola Board of Education at a young age.

  • Hillary Clinton (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Despite a failed Presidential campaign in 2016, Clinton's name still comes up often in the political world. As the former First Lady, Secretary of State, and U.S. Senator from New York, she certainly has the pedigree of a potential candidate, but whether or not New Yorkers support a gubernatorial campaign is unknown.

  • Terry Gipson (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Despite being born in Texas, Gipson is well known in the world of New York politics, as he was elected as a Democratic member of the New York Senate in 2012 and served through the end of 2014. Despite a failed campaign to become the Governor of New York in 2017, some political pundits still think his name is in the conversation for various positions.

  • Andrew Yang (D) (+10000) | Long Shot

    Despite back-to-back failed campaigns for the Democratic Presidential nominee and the New York mayoral race, Yang is still a name that is is brought up often when it comes to New York politics.

  • Lee Zeldin (R) (No Odds Listed)

    He turns 42 on Jan. 30 and is a three-term Long Island congressman who that has represented New York’s 1st District since 2015. He attended the University of Albany and Albany Lawe School.

  • Andrew Giuliani (R) (No Odds Listed)

    Son of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. He was an associate director of the Office of Public Liaison during the Trump administration. In 2008 he sued Duke University and its head golf coach for kicking him off the varsity team. Giuliani played his high school golf at St. Joseph (Montvale) in New Jersey.

  • Rob Astorino (R) (No Odds Listed)

    Fordham grad who is a former Westchester County executive (2010-17) making his second bid for governor. He carried 40 percent of the vote in losing to Cuomo in 2014. Astorino was one of the founders of 1050 AM ESPN Radio in New York and served as its executive producer for the station and “The Michael Kay Show” at the time. He also was the first program director for Sirius Satellite Radio’s The Catholic Channel.

  • Mike Carpinelli (R) (No Odds Listed)

    Lewis County Sheriff, Mike Carpinelli Announced his run in June 2020. He has lived in Lewis County since 2006. Reacting to a comment from Cuomo Carpinelli was quoted in an interview with Capital Tonight as saying: “I couldn’t take it anymore, hearing there is no room for us conservatives in the state of New York."

New York Gubernatorial Election Information

To vote in New York, an individual must be a United States citizen, a resident of a county, city, or village in the state for at least 30 days before to the election and at least 18 years old by the date of the election. Individuals who are in prison or on parole for a felony conviction and those who have been declared mentally incompetent by a court are ineligible to register to vote. One cannot register to vote in New York while claiming the right to vote elsewhere.

Key Dates

📅 June 28Democrat, Republican Primary Elections
📅 Nov 8General Election
Polling Hours6 a.m. to 9 p.m. ET; primary times vary by county

Betting on the Race

Wagering on any political race or election in the United States is prohibited despite New York sports betting going live earlier this month

Contributors

Lou Monaco @loumonaco

Contributor since December 2019

Lou Monaco has been a columnist for Gaming Today in Las Vegas and has over 30 years sports experience with previous stints at ESPN SportsTicker, Daily Racing Form and Oddschecker.