Aaron Rodgers' MVP Odds For The 2023 NFL Season

Aaron Rodgers MVP

Key Takeaways

  • Aaron Rodgers' current odds are +1600 at FanDuel Sportsbook New York.
  • Rodgers has been named NFL MVP four times, more than any active player.
  • The former Packer is among the offseason favorites to be named MVP, an award no Jets player has won.

If you've seen the Jets' quarterback play – finishing in the bottom six in QB rating each of the past six seasons – you already may want to bet on Aaron Rodgers as the MVJ – Most Valuable Jet.

But a real leap would be for Rodgers, acquired by the Jets on April 25, to be named NFL MVP. Rodgers, already the second-oldest MVP winner at age 37, would be adding another at age 40 (which he turns December 2, 2023). The only older winner: New England's Tom Brady, who was 40 (but four months older) when he won in 2017. Aaron Rodgers MVP sure sounds good, doesn't it?

In his favor: Rodgers is the active leader with 4 MVP awards. Quarterbacks have won 15 of the past 16 MVP awards, the lone exception being Minnesota RB Adrian Peterson in 2012. If any player could pull this off with any team, it could be this future Hall of Fame QB joining a New York team with a very strong roster (save for a massive hole under center). 

How Many Times Has Aaron Rodgers Won NFL MVP?

Aaron Rodgers has been named NFL MVP four times – 2011, 2014, 2020 and 2021.

The 2011 season was Rodgers' fourth as the Packers starter. He started 15 games and went 14-1, throwing for 4.643 yards, 45 touchdowns (against 6 interceptions) and QB rating of 122.5 that remains the best season in NFL history. The Packers, however, went 0-1 in the playoffs with a home loss to the eventual Super Bowl Champion Giants. Eventually, Rodgers mustered a smile and accepted the MVP award from commissioner Roger Goodell.

In 2014, Rodgers won his second MVP, throwing for 4,381 yards, 38 TDs (5 INTs) and a QB rating of 112.2. The Packers went 1-1 in the playoffs, losing to the eventual NFC Champion Seahawks.

In 2020, Rodgers posted the second-best QB rating in a season, 121.5, throwing for 4,299 yards and 48 TDs (5 INTs). The Packers went 1-1 in the playoffs, losing to the eventual Super Bowl Champion Buccaneers.

In 2021, his fourth MVP season saw him throw for 4,115 yards and 37 TDs (4 INTs). The Packers were 0-1 in the playoffs, losing to the 49ers.

Who’s The Current Favorite For 2023 NFL MVP Award? 

A lot of stars and not a lot of surprises on the off-season MVP odds chart. Aaron Rodgers' MVP odds are sitting at +1600.

Josh Allen, Bills+700
Joe Burrow, Bengals+700
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs+700
Justin Herbert, Chargers+900
Jalen Hurts, Eagles+1200
Lamar Jackson, Ravens+1500
Aaron Rodgers, Jets+1600
Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins+1600
Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars+1600
Dak Prescott, Cowboys+1600

New York sports betting regulations prohibit betting on awards that are decided by voters, but most other states do not have this ban in place. But there are Rodgers bets that you can make in New York. Among them:

How many passing yards will Aaron Rodgers (NYJ) record in the regular season?
Over 3,950.5   (-115)
Under 3,950.5   (-115)

When playing at least 15 games, Rodgers has hit that yardage total in 10 of 13 seasons. Check out BetMGM NY Sportsbook for that wager and more on the Jets,


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Has A New York Jet Ever Won NFL MVP?

No New York Jets player has been named NFL MVP. The best finish came in 1972, when QB Joe Namath finished third in the MVP voting. That season, Namath threw for 2,816 yards and 19 TDs, both league highs. He also threw 21 interceptions.

1972 NFL MVP Voting

Larry Brown, Washington45
Earl Morrall, Miami10
Larry Csonka, Miami4
Joe Namath, NY Jets4
O.J. Simpson, Buffalo4

The Jets lost four of their final five games that season to finish 7-7.

Is The Rest Of The Jets' Offense Good? 

The signing of Rodgers has electrified the Jets' fanbase and driven up expectations. But the the future Hall of Famer cannot do it all. He has to have a group of quality pass-catchers, as well as a solid offensive line and running game, to create offense.

So Aaron Rodgers' odds to win MVP depend heavily on the team around him.

Health will be a key factor when it comes time to determine the Jets' playoff chances. And the first point of optimism here is the return of Ali Vera-Tucker. The right guard was lost for the 2022 season in Week 7, along with running back Breece Hall. The Jets, then 5-2, went 2-8 the rest of the season. Vera-Tucker is back and is expected to key a solid group. (In addition to Vera-Tucker's return, the line added second-round pick Joe Tippmann. He should start at center. Tippmann allowed one sack in two seasons at Wisconsin.)

Hall is less certain to be ready for the season opener, but Jets general manager Joe Douglas has said Hall is ahead of schedule in his rehab, and "he’s hitting unbelievable top-end speeds." That's a great update in mid-May, almost four months before the season opener: Bills at Jets on Sept. 11 – Monday Night Football. Hall, notably, keyed a huge win for the Jets a week before his injury. He ran for 116 yards and one touchdown in a win at Green Bay. A week before that, Hall had 100 receiving against the Dolphins. He's a dual threat who surely will benefit from Rodgers' arrival.

At receiver, the Jets return blossoming star Garrett Wilson. He caught 83 passes for 1,103 yards and 4 touchdowns in his rookie season. Those impressive numbers look even better when you consider the trouble at QB. Zach Wilson completed 54.6% of his passes last season. Rodgers, in an off year, completed 64.6%. Also remember that many wide receivers show their biggest jump from Year 1 to Year 2. Garrett Wilson is a legitimate No. 1 receiver.

Another key signing from Green Bay is that of wide receiver Allen Lazard. Lazard was Rodgers' No. 1 target last season and finished the year with 60 receptions for 788 yards and 6 TDs. Lazard knows Rodgers well and will be a go-to target, as well as a player able to share his knowledge with Wilson and other Jets receivers, such as Corey Davis and Denzel Mims.

When you have a QB who can scan so many options, never forget the tight end as an occasional primary target and not just a check-down. Tyler Conklin caught 58 passes last season for the Jets. Backup C.J. Uzomah added 21 receptions and 2 TDs. 

All that positivity is enough to send you scrambling to find New York promos.

Has An NFL Player Ever Been Named MVP After Being Traded? 

Several players have won an MVP award after being traded, including Marshall Faulk (2000, his second season with the Rams).

But Earl Morrall is the only player to be named MVP in his first season with a team after a trade. And his story ends up looping in the New York Jets.

Morrall was traded from Giants to the Colts less than a month before the season 1968 began. Then, in the final preseason game, starting quarterback Johnny Unitas suffered a season-ending arm injury. 

Morrall became the starter and threw for 2,909 yards and a league-high 26 touchdowns. The Colts went 13-1 and lost in the Super Bowl to ... Joe Namath and the Jets. 

That season, Broadway Joe was named AFL MVP, earning the only MVP award to go to a New York Jets player.

Past 10 NFL MVP Winners

Quarterbacks have dominated the award all time, pulling in 46 of them since the award began in 1957. Running back is second, with 18.

2022Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
2021Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2020Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2019Lamar Jackson, Ravens
2018Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
2017Tom Brady, Patriots
2016Matt Ryan, Falcons
2015Cam Newton, Panthers
2014Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2013Peyton Manning, Broncos

Three positions have won the MVP award once: DT Alan Page, Minnesota, 1971; K Mark Moseley, Washington, 1982; LB Lawrence Taylor, NY Giants, 1986.

Part of the reason for the QB-heavy list is that they pile up the biggest stats. They of course touch the ball on most every play, and often grab the most attention from fans and the media.

BetRivers NY Sportsbook also has a non-MVP wager available for Rodgers. In fact, it has two.

Player's Total Passing Yards – Regular Season
Over 3,900.5   (-113)
Under 3,900.5   (-113)

Player's Total Passing Touchdowns – Regular Season
Over 28.5   (-113)
Under 28.5   (-113)

When playing at least 15 games, Rodgers has hit that TD pass total in 8 of 13 seasons.

When you consider all of the numbers and his supporting case, Aaron Rodgers MVP odds 2023 should look attractive for a wager.



Lawrence Hollyfield is an editor, fact-checker and lifelong sports fan. He is dedicated to accuracy and keeping information as current as possible. Lawrence has been published as a writer, editor, researcher, statistician and analyst. He has been betting gently against the spread since fifth grade, but do not tell that to his mother.

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