Hot Dogs, Apple Pie and New York Sports Betting This July 4

Hot Dogs, Apple Pie and New York Sports Betting This July 4
Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

Taking a turn from its normal daily wagering activity, it’s something a little different in New York sports betting when it comes to the 4th of July.

That’s when New Yorkers, tourists and TV viewers come to Surf and Stillwell avenues at Coney Island in Brooklyn for the 105th edition of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.

ESPN will start its traditional July 4 broadcast, its 19th in a row, from Coney Island at noon ET.

A Look at the Odds

Future odds for both men's and women's contests were released by BetMGM New York Sportsbook.

Current men’s odds:

  • Joey Chestnut: -3000
  • The Field: +1000

No real surprise on the men’s side as 14-time winner Joey Chestnut is the overwhelming favorite. He opened and still is at -3000 to win, with the rest of the field in total listed at +1000. Chestnut’s over/under on hot dogs eaten is at 74.5, with the over at -140 (opened at -135) and the under at +110 (opened at +105).

BetMGM New York, according to a spokesperson, considers this a niche event and said it does receive some action on it (not a lot, though).

Chestnut, who last year set a new world record by eating 76 hot dogs and buns in 10 minutes at Maimonides Park, has won six consecutive contests since 2015. He was beaten that year by Matt Stonie, who upended Chestnut’s eight-year win streak by defeating the champ, 62-60.

Last year, Chestnut opened the future odds on the BetMGM sports betting app at -5000 and closed at -1400. The total rest of the field, excluding Chestnut, opened at +1100, before closing at +700.

Chestnut’s total hot dogs eaten opened at over 73.5 at -225 and closed as a mild -150 favorite. The under 73.5 opened at +170 and closed at +115.

At, we follow obscure odds such as this, but mostly the odds on the biggest pro teams. Look on the site for updates and the best New York sports betting promo codes.

Here is a look at the year-by-year winners, dating back to Chestnut’s first win on a dominant streak.

🌭  2021Joey Chestnut76
🌭  2020Joey Chestnut75
🌭  2019Joey Chestnut71
🌭  2018Joey Chestnut74
🌭  2017Joey Chestnut72
🌭  2016Joey Chestnut70
🌭  2015Matt Stonie62
🌭  2014Joey Chestnut61
🌭  2013Joey Chestnut69
🌭  2012 Joey Chestnut68
🌭  2011Joey Chestnut62
🌭  2010Joey Chestnut54
🌭  2009Joey Chestnut68
🌭  2008Joey Chestnut59
🌭  2007Joey Chestnut66
🌭  2006Takeru Kobayashi53.75
Source: Nathan’s Hot Dog contest Wikipedia

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Dominant Women’s Champ Returns

On the women’s side, seven-time winner Miki Sudo is back in the competition after taking last year off to have a baby.

She opened at and remains the overwhelming favorite at -5000. The entire field is listed at +1100. Sudo’s over/under total on hot dogs eaten is 49.5, with the under a favorite at -225 (opened at -165) and the over at +155 (opened at +125).

Current women’s odds:

  • Miki Sudo: -5000
  • The Field: +1100

With Sudo absent in 2021, Michelle Lesco won her first title by eating 30.75 hot dogs.

Even if the event doesn’t do anything for you, do know that Nathan’s donates 100,000 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dogs to the Food Bank for New York City.

Here is a look at the year-by-year winners, dating back to Sudo’s first win in her own dominant streak.

🌭  2021Michelle Lesco30.75
🌭  2020Miki Sudo48.5
🌭  2019 Miki Sudo31
🌭  2018 Miki Sudo37
🌭  2017 Miki Sudo41
🌭  2016 Miki Sudo38.5
🌭  2015Miki Sudo38
🌭  2014 Miki Sudo34
🌭  2013Sonya Thomas36.75
Source: Nathan’s Hot Dog contest Wikipedia

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What Kind of Calories Are We Talking?

It is hard to imagine what Chestnut does every year, for a lot of reasons.

It also begs the question: How many calories does he consume?

Let’s do the math . . . and let’s be kind.

The most conservative numbers for calories you will find for a Nathan’s hot dog is 130 and the lowest for a hot dog bun is 100.

Let’s say Chestnut breaks the record by one and devours 77 hot dogs.

That is 77 dogs at 230 calories each, for 17,710 calories. For Sudo, breaking the record at 50 hot dogs would mean 11,500 calories.

How long would you have to walk to burn off 17,710 calories?

According to, a rule of thumb is a 180-pound person burns off 100 calories per mile and a 120-pound person walks 65 calories per mile.

That means it would take the 180-pound person 177.1 miles (roughly equivalent of walking from New York City to Providence, Rhode Island) and the 120-pound person 272.5 miles (length of 10.4 marathons).



Lou Monaco has been a columnist for Gaming Today in Las Vegas and has over 30 years sports experience with previous stints at ESPN SportsTicker, Daily Racing Form and Oddschecker.

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